Scenario planning is a strategic planning process through which organizations imagine possible futures to determine how their organization and services would need to adapt to be successful in each scenario.

Often, four scenarios are imagined, along two possible axes – both of which represent more or less of one thing. See below for an example.

A tool for more effective scenario planning | Smart Insights

Giving each of these scenarios a name, and building client and user stories around each, help us to envision ways that services and supports can adapt to changing political, economic and social contexts.

For WE Value, with the support of Munro Strategic Consulting, and the Steering & Evaluation Committee, we determined the four scenarios to be:

  1. Provincial downloading of settlement services AND Major Canadian recession and high unemployment
  2. Provincial downloading of settlement services AND Significant economic growth for Canada
  3. Federal control of settlement services AND Major Canadian recession and high unemployment
  4. Federal control of settlement services AND Significant economic growth for Canada

Each of these scenarios lead us to imagine the delivery of services in environments with potential bottlenecks, a lack of appropriate services to meet needs, and even unwelcoming sentiments from settlement communities.

Our team worked to establish how the WE Value Settlement Assessment and K2 Pathway to Settlement System could adapt to each of these scenarios. We also identified which economic, social and political markers may exist or appear to let us know we are heading in one direction over another. By doing this work in advance, we can ensure that we are better preparing ourselves for the future – one in which the WE Value service is sustained and growing.